Main Article Content
Abstract
In this paper, an optimization approach, which is based on the Bayesian Linear Inference (BLI) model, has been proposed for the maintenance of Programmable Logic Controllers (PLCs). The BLI model, which is implemented using historical data, incorporates maintenance indicators like the number of failures (NF), total downtime (TD), total unexpected intervals (TUI), mean time to repair (MTTR) and mean time between failures (MTBF). It offers a probabilistic framework for determining the influence of each predictor variable on PLC maintenance. The model produces posterior means, credible intervals, and standard deviations, which provide insights into the magnitude and uncertainty of these relationships. The results from the study show that factors like NF and TD are influenced by the magnitude and direction of the maintenance levels. Also, the R-squared score (0.85) also indicates how much of the variability in maintenance in the system. From the results obtained, the study can conclude that the BLI model can optimize PLC maintenance procedures by identifying essential components and their contributions. Also, it is able to estimate future maintenance requirements and helps with resource allocation and process optimization decisions.
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References
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References
Brown, M. and Proschan, F. (1983) ‘Imperfect repair’, J Appl Probab, 20, pp. 851–859.
Cho, D. and Parlar, M. (1991) ‘A survey of maintenance models for multi-unit systems’, Eur J Oper Res, 51, pp. 1–23. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/0377- 2217(91)90141-h.
Nicolai, R.. and Dekker, R. (2007) Optimal maintenance of multi_component systems: a review. Complex system maintenance handbook. London: Springer. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1- 84800-011-7_11.
Pham, H. and Wang, H. (1996) ‘Imperfect maintenance’, European Journal of Operational Research, 94(3), pp. 425–438. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0377-2217(96)00099-9.
Wang, H. (2002) ‘A survey of maintenance policies of deteriorating systems’, Eur J Oper Res, 139, pp. 469–489. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/s0377-2217 (01)00197-7.
Dekker, R. (1995) ‘On the use of operations research models for maintenance decision making’, Microelectronics Reliability, 35(9–10), pp. 1321–1331. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/0026-2714(95)99380-2.
Marais, K. and Saleh, J. (2009) ‘Beyond its cost, the value of maintenance: an analytical framework for capturing its net present value’, Reliab Eng Syst Saf, 94, pp. 644–657. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.ress.2008.07.004.
Ming Tan, C. and Raghavan, N. (2008) ‘A framework to practical predictive maintenance modeling for multi-state systems’, 93, pp. 1138–1150. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2007.09.003.
Alizadeh, S. and Sriramula, S. (2018) ‘Impact of common cause failure on reliability performance of redundant safety related systems subject to process demand’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 172, pp. 129–150. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2017.12.011.
Liu, Y. and Frangopol, D.M. (2018) ‘Time-dependent reliability assessment of ship structures under progressive and shock deteriorations’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 173, pp. 116–128. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2018.01.009.
Meng, H., Kloul, L. and Rauzy, A. (2018) ‘Modeling patterns for reliability assessment of safety instrumented systems’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 180, pp. 111–123. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2018.06.026.
Chen, H.-P. and Mehrabani, M.B. (2019) ‘Reliability analysis and optimum maintenance of coastal flood defences using probabilistic deterioration modelling’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 185, pp. 163–174. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2018.12.021.
Pliego Marugán, A., Peco Chacón, A.M. and García Márquez, F.P. (2019) ‘Reliability analysis of detecting false alarms that employ neural networks: A real case study on wind turbines’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 191, p. 106574. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2019.106574.
Zhu, X., Wang, J. and Yuan, T. (2019) ‘Design and maintenance for the data storage system considering system rebuilding process’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 191, p. 106576. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2019.106576.
Izquierdo, J., Crespo Márquez, A. and Uribetxebarria, J. (2019) ‘Dynamic artificial neural network-based reliability considering operational context of assets.’, Reliability Engineering &System Safety, 188, pp. 483–493. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2019.03.054.
Shi, Y. et al. (2020) ‘Condition-based maintenance optimization for multi-component systems subject to a system reliability requirement’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 202, p. 107042. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107042.
Ma, X. et al. (2020) ‘Reliability analysis and condition-based maintenance optimization for a warm standby cooling system’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 193, p. 106588. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2019.106588.
Wang, X. et al. (2020) ‘Reliability and maintenance for performance-balanced systems operating in a shock environment’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 195, p. 106705. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2019.106705.
Gao, K. et al. (2020) ‘Jointly optimizing lot sizing and maintenance policy for a production system with two failure modes’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 202, p. 106996. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.106996.
Chang, P.-C. et al. (2021) ‘Reliability and maintenance models for a time-related multi-state flow network via d-MC approach’, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 216, p. 107962. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107962.