Main Article Content

Abstract

The aim of the present study is to investigate the technical and economic viability of implementing photovoltaic (PV) systems in The Gambia by analyzing the availability of the solar resource, system performance, generation capacity, and economic viability. Long-term climate data from the NASA POWER database have been used to evaluate global horizontal irradiation, ambient temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, cloud cover, and wind speed at five locations in The Gambia. The analysis shows good potential for solar energy use, with annual GHI values ranging from 5.776 to 5.886 kWh/m²/day. Seasonal analysis revealed higher electricity generation during the dry season due to lower cloud cover, rainfall, and humidity. For 100% PV penetration, annual electricity generation ranges from 886.13 GWh in Soma to 913.87 GWh in Banjul. Correlation analysis shows that cloud cover (r = −0.976) and precipitation (r = −0.944) have the greatest negative impact on PV electricity production. System losses were also found to range from 21.34% to 22.80%, mainly due to variations in temperature and radiation. Moreover, the economic analyses indicated that the cost of electricity of proposed systems is within the range of 50.77-52.94 USD/MWh with a payback period of less than six years. This demonstrates the economic viability of utility-scale photovoltaic solar energy systems. The results show that the use of large-scale photovoltaic solar power systems can help provide a cost-effective alternative to fossil fuel-based electricity production by government institutions in The Gambia.

Keywords

Temporal Photovoltaic system Economic analysis Climate parameters The Gambia

Article Details

How to Cite
Kassem, Y. ., Çamur, H. ., & Sagnia, E. . (2026). Assessment of solar energy potential and climatic effects on utility-scale photovoltaic power generation in The Gambia. Future Technology, 5(3), 344–358. Retrieved from https://fupubco.com/futech/article/view/1100
Bookmark and Share

References

  1. Raza, M. Y., Hasan, M. M., & Chen, Y. (2023). Role of economic growth, urbanization and energy consumption on climate change in Bangladesh. Energy Strategy Reviews, 47, 101088. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2023.101088
  2. Singh, S. (2021). Energy crisis and climate change: Global concerns and their solutions. Energy: crises, challenges and solutions, 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119741503.ch1
  3. Owusu, P. A., & Asumadu-Sarkodie, S. (2016). A review of renewable energy sources, sustainability issues and climate change mitigation. Cogent Engineering, 3(1), 1167990. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311916.2016.1167990
  4. Ukoba, K., Yoro, K. O., Eterigho-Ikelegbe, O., Ibegbulam, C., & Jen, T. C. (2024). Adaptation of solar energy in the Global South: Prospects, challenges and opportunities. Heliyon, 10(7). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e28009
  5. Hasan, M. M., Hossain, S., Mofijur, M., Kabir, Z., Badruddin, I. A., Yunus Khan, T. M., & Jassim, E. (2023). Harnessing solar power: a review of photovoltaic innovations, solar thermal systems, and the dawn of energy storage solutions. Energies, 16(18), 6456. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16186456
  6. Tomczyk, D., & Łapniewska, Z. (2025). Solar panels on every rooftop? Photovoltaics boom in Poland and the role of the European Union funds. Energy Research & Social Science, 125, 104107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2025.104107
  7. Ashraf, A., & Sagheer, M. (2025). Renewable energy capacity and technological innovations: A review of global trends and future directions. Environmental Progress & Sustainable Energy, 44(6), e70071. https://doi.org/10.1002/ep.70071
  8. Kishore, T. S., Kumar, P. U., & Ippili, V. (2025). Review of global sustainable solar energy policies: Significance and impact. Innovation and Green Development, 4(2), 100224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.igd.2025.100224
  9. Kishore, Teegala Srinivasa, Potnuru Upendra Kumar, and Vidyabharati Ippili. "Review of global sustainable solar energy policies: Significance and impact." Innovation and Green Development 4.2 (2025): 100224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.igd.2025.100224
  10. Germany Solar Energy Solutions Market Outlook 2025-2032. Intel Market Research. https://www.intelmarketresearch.com/Germany-Solar-Energy%20-903
  11. Ajayi, A. O., Agupugo, C. P., Nwanevu, C., & Chimziebere, C. (2024). Review of penetration and impact of utility solar installation in developing countries: policy and challenges. International Journal of Frontiers in Engineering and Technology Research, 7(2), 11-24. https://doi.org/10.53294/ijfetr.2024.7.2.0046
  12. Agoundedemba, M., Kim, C. K., & Kim, H. G. (2023). Energy status in Africa: challenges, progress and sustainable pathways. Energies, 16(23), 7708. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16237708
  13. Adenle, A. A. (2020). Assessment of solar energy technologies in Africa-opportunities and challenges in meeting the 2030 agenda and sustainable development goals. Energy Policy, 137, 111180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111180
  14. Aliyu, A. K., Modu, B., & Tan, C. W. (2018). A review of renewable energy development in Africa: A focus in South Africa, Egypt and Nigeria. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 81, 2502-2518. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2017.06.055
  15. Amir, M., & Khan, S. Z. (2022). Assessment of renewable energy: Status, challenges, COVID-19 impacts, opportunities, and sustainable energy solutions in Africa. Energy and Built Environment, 3(3), 348-362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbenv.2021.03.002
  16. South Africa awards 1 290 MW of solar under Bid Window 7. (2025, July 24). Energize. https://www.energize.co.za/article/south-africa-awards-1-290-mw-of-solar-under-bid-window-7
  17. Cities, G. B. a.-. N. C. Z. B. A., & Cities, G. B. a.-. N. C. Z. B. A. (2025). The complete breakdown of South Africa’s REIPPPP Bid Window 7 to date. Green Building Africa. https://www.greenbuildingafrica.co.za/the-complete-breakdown-of-south-africas-reipppp-bid-window-7-to-date/
  18. Country Commercial guides. (2021). International Trade Administration | Trade.gov. https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/gambia-energy
  19. The Gambia – Grid-Connected Solar PV - Mitigation Action Facility. (2026). Mitigation Action Facility. https://mitigation-action.org/projects/the-gambia-grid-connected-solar-pv/
  20. Marong, L. K., Jirakiattikul, S., & Techato, K. A. (2018). The Gambia's future electricity supply system: Optimizing power supply for sustainable development. Energy Strategy Reviews, 20, 179-194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2018.03.001
  21. Manneh, M. (2020). Challenges and possible solutions to electricity generation, transmission and distribution in the Gambia. American International Journal of Business Management, 3, 87-93.
  22. National Water and Electricity Corporation – the official website of the government of the Gambia. https://gambia.gov.gm/national-water-and-electricity-corporation/
  23. Ayua, T. J., Uto, O. T., & Fatty, L. K. (2023). An investigation of solar energy potential towards improving agriculture using angstrom and newly developed analytical models: in case of the Gambia. Scientific African, 21, e01886. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2023.e01886
  24. Kanteh Sakiliba, S., Sani Hassan, A., Wu, J., Saja Sanneh, E., & Ademi, S. (2015). Assessment of Stand‐Alone Residential Solar Photovoltaic Application in Sub‐Saharan Africa: A Case Study of Gambia. Journal of Renewable Energy, 2015(1), 640327. https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/640327
  25. Sawaneh, M. (2020). Energy Transition towards Green Energy and its Implication in the Gambia (Doctoral dissertation, WASCAL).
  26. Ayua, T. J., & Camara, M. (2024). Modeling and estimation of solar panel tilting angles and orientations in the Gambia: a case study of Brikama, West Coast Region. Discover Energy, 4(1), 31. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43937-024-00059-z
  27. Hydara, S. M., Ibrahim, H., Sanyang, M. L., & Saley, M. M. (2025). Performance analysis of an off-grid system in the Gambia: a case study of a 120 kWp solar installation at nyamanarri village. Journal of Energy Research and Reviews, 17(6), 20-39.
  28. Obeng-Darko, N. A. (2022, February). Achieving Sustainable Electricity Through Renewable Energy Development in the Gambia: Regulatory and Policy Considerations. In Sustainable Energy Development and Innovation: Selected Papers from the World Renewable Energy Congress (WREC) 2020 (pp. 605-611). Cham: Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-76221-6_66
  29. Kanteh Sakiliba, S., Sani Hassan, A., Wu, J., Saja Sanneh, E., & Ademi, S. (2015). Assessment of Stand‐Alone Residential Solar Photovoltaic Application in Sub‐Saharan Africa: A Case Study of Gambia. Journal of Renewable Energy, 2015(1), 640327. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/640327
  30. Sowe, S., Ketjoy, N., Thanarak, P., & Suriwong, T. (2014). Technical and economic viability assessment of PV power plants for rural electrification in the Gambia. Energy Procedia, 52, 389-398. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.07.091
  31. Bass, M. S., & Lopez-Agüera, A. (2023). Longterm Optimization Model For The Gambia’s Energy Transition. RE&PQJ, 21(5). https://doi.org/10.24084/repqj21.412
  32. Aboelkhair, H., Morsy, M., & El Afandi, G. (2019). Assessment of agroclimatology NASA POWER reanalysis datasets for temperature types and relative humidity at 2 m against ground observations over Egypt. Advances in Space Research, 64(1), 129-142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2019.03.032
  33. Lindsay, R., Wensnahan, M., Schweiger, A., & Zhang, J. (2014). Evaluation of seven different atmospheric reanalysis products in the Arctic. Journal of Climate, 27(7), 2588-2606. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00014.1
  34. Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Dee, D. P., Hersbach, H., Hirahara, S., & Thépaut, J. N. (2017). A reassessment of temperature variations and trends from global reanalyses and monthly surface climatological datasets. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143(702), 101-119. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2949
  35. Quansah, A. D., Dogbey, F., Asilevi, P. J., Boakye, P., Darkwah, L., Oduro-Kwarteng, S., ... & Mensah, P. (2022). Assessment of solar radiation resource from the NASA-POWER reanalysis products for tropical climates in Ghana towards clean energy application. Scientific reports, 12(1), 10684. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14126-9
  36. Monteiro, L. A., Sentelhas, P. C., & Pedra, G. U. (2018). Assessment of NASA/POWER satellite‐based weather system for Brazilian conditions and its impact on sugarcane yield simulation. International Journal of Climatology, 38(3), 1571-1581.
  37. Jed, M., Ihaddadene, N., Jed, M. E. H., Ihaddadene, R., & El Bah, M. (2022). Validation of the Accuracy of NASA Solar Irradiation Data for Four African Regions. International Journal of Sustainable Development & Planning, 17(1).
  38. Sayago, S., Ovando, G., Almorox, J., & Bocco, M. (2020). Daily solar radiation from NASA-POWER product: assessing its accuracy considering atmospheric transparency. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 41(3), 897-910. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2019.1650986
  39. Rodrigues, G. C., & Braga, R. P. (2021). Evaluation of NASA POWER reanalysis products to estimate daily weather variables in a hot summer mediterranean climate. Agronomy, 11(6), 1207.
  40. Mondal, M. A. H., & Islam, A. S. (2011). Potential and viability of grid-connected solar PV system in Bangladesh. Renewable energy, 36(6), 1869-1874. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2010.11.033
  41. Tarigan, E., & Kartikasari, F. D. (2015). Techno-economic simulation of a grid-connected PV system design as specifically applied to residential in Surabaya, Indonesia. Energy Procedia, 65, 90-99. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2015.01.038
  42. Ramli, M. A., Hiendro, A., Sedraoui, K., & Twaha, S. (2015). Optimal sizing of grid-connected photovoltaic energy system in Saudi Arabia. Renewable Energy, 75, 489-495. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.028
  43. Maammeur, H., Hamidat, A., Loukarfi, L., Missoum, M., Abdeladim, K., & Nacer, T. (2017). Performance investigation of grid-connected PV systems for family farms: case study of North-West of Algeria. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 78, 1208-1220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2017.05.004
  44. Said, M., El-Shimy, M., & Abdelraheem, M. A. (2015). Photovoltaics energy: Improved modeling and analysis of the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and grid parity–Egypt case study. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 9, 37-48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2014.11.003
  45. Balo, F., & Şağbanşua, L. (2016). The selection of the best solar panel for the photovoltaic system design by using AHP. Energy Procedia, 100, 50-53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2016.10.151
  46. Rehman, S., Ahmed, M. A., Mohamed, M. H., & Al-Sulaiman, F. A. (2017). Feasibility study of the grid connected 10 MW installed capacity PV power plants in Saudi Arabia. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 80, 319-329. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2017.05.218
  47. El-Bayeh, C. Z., Alzaareer, K., Brahmi, B., Zellagui, M., & Eicker, U. (2021). An original multi-criteria decision-making algorithm for solar panels selection in buildings. Energy, 217, 119396. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.119396
  48. Sasikumar, G., & Ayyappan, S. (2019). Multi-criteria Decision Making for Solar Panel Selection Using Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to ideal Solution (TOPSIS): An Empirical Study. Journal of The Institution of Engineers (India): Series C, 100(4), 707-715. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40032-019-00520-2
  49. Trina Vertex N Solar Panel Utility-Scale N-Type TopCon 720W Module 23.2% Efficiency Manufacturers & Suppliers – Made-in-China.com. https://www.made-in-china.com/price/prodetail_Solar-Renewable-Energy_kThpvXqOrKVx.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  50. SOLIS 350kW Commercial String Solar Power System Inverter S6-GU350K-EHV Three phase on grid Solar Inverter. Made-in-China.com. https://ahguangya.en.made-in-china.com/product/bpMrxsgOZnhN/China-Solis-350kw-Commercial-String-Solar-Power-System-Inverter-S6-Gu350K-Ehv-Three-Phase-on-Grid-Solar-Inverter.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  51. Lagili, H. S. A., Kiraz, A., Kassem, Y., & Gökçekuş, H. (2023). Wind and solar energy for sustainable energy production for family farms in coastal agricultural regions of Libya using measured and multiple satellite datasets. Energies, 16(18), 6725. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16186725
  52. Masrur, H., Konneh, K. V., Ahmadi, M., Khan, K. R., Othman, M. L., & Senjyu, T. (2021). Assessing the techno-economic impact of derating factors on optimally tilted grid-tied photovoltaic systems. Energies, 14(4), 1044. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14041044
  53. Kichonge, B., & Mwakapoma, S. (2026). Photovoltaic system performance in Sub-Saharan Africa under environmental, technical and policy constraints. Discover Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-026-02701-3
  54. Kumar, N. M., Sudhakar, K., & Samykano, M. (2019). Performance comparison of BAPV and BIPV systems with c-Si, CIS and CdTe photovoltaic technologies under tropical weather conditions. Case Studies in Thermal Engineering, 13, 100374. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csite.2018.100374
  55. International Electrotechnical Commission. (2005). Crystalline silicon terrestrial photovoltaic (PV) modules—design qualification and type approval. International Standard IEC, 61215(04).
  56. Al-Smairan, M. (2012). Application of photovoltaic array for pumping water as an alternative to diesel engines in Jordan Badia, Tall Hassan station: Case study. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 16(7), 4500-4507. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.04.033
  57. Yaniktepe, B., Kara, O., & Ozalp, C. (2017). Technoeconomic Evaluation for an Installed Small‐Scale Photovoltaic Power Plant. International Journal of Photoenergy, 2017(1), 3237543. https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/3237543
  58. Goel, S., Sharma, R., & Jena, B. (2022). Life cycle cost and energy assessment of a 3.4 kWp rooftop solar photovoltaic system in India. International Journal of Ambient Energy, 43(1), 4528-4538. https://doi.org/10.1080/01430750.2021.1913221
  59. National Renewable Energy Laboratory. (2024). Annual Technology Baseline (ATB): Electricity. https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2024
  60. International Renewable Energy Agency. (2024). Renewable power generation costs in 2023. https://www.irena.org/Publications/2024/Sep/Renewable-Power-Generation-Costs-in-2023
  61. Neher, I., Crewell, S., Meilinger, S., Pfeifroth, U., & Trentmann, J. (2020). Photovoltaic power potential in West Africa using long-term satellite data. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20(21), 12871-12888. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-12871-2020
  62. Danso, D. K., Anquetin, S., Diedhiou, A., & Adamou, R. (2020). Cloudiness information services for solar energy management in West Africa. Atmosphere, 11(8), 857. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11080857
  63. Tossa, A., Cossi, T., Aza-Gnandji, R., & Semassou, G. C. (2023). Performance analysis of PV/T modules in West African climate zones. Current Journal of Applied Science and Technology.
  64. Ogunjuyigbe, A. S., Yusuff, A. A., & Mosetlhe, T. C. (2021). An assessment of proposed grid integrated solar photovoltaic in different locations of Nigeria: Technical and economic perspective. Cleaner Engineering and Technology, 4, 100149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clet.2021.100149
  65. Okeke, C. J., Egberibine, P. K., Edet, J. U., Wilson, J., & Blanchard, R. E. (2025). Comparative assessment of concentrated solar power and photovoltaic for power generation and green hydrogen potential in West Africa: A case study on Nigeria. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 215, 115548. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2025.115548
  66. Asare-Addo, M. (2022). Optimal techno-economic potential and site evaluation for solar PV and CSP systems in Ghana. A geospatial AHP multi-criteria approach. Renewable Energy Focus, 41, 216-229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ref.2022.03.007
  67. Edoo, N., & Ah King, R. T. (2021). Techno-economic analysis of utility-scale solar photovoltaic plus battery power plant. Energies, 14(23), 8145. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14238145
  68. Bendaas, I., Bouchouicha, K., Semaoui, S., Razagui, A., Bouchakour, S., & Boulahchiche, S. (2023). Performance evaluation of large-scale photovoltaic power plant in Saharan climate of Algeria based on real data. Energy for Sustainable Development, 76, 101293. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2023.101293
  69. Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE. (2024). Photovoltaics report. https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/publications/studies/photovoltaics-report.html
  70. Green, M. A., Dunlop, E. D., Yoshita, M., Kopidakis, N., Bothe, K., Siefer, G., ... & Hao, X. (2024). Solar cell efficiency tables (Version 64). Progress in Photovoltaics, 32(7). https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.3831
  71. International Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaic. (2024). International Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaic (ITRPV): 2024 Results. VDMA. https://itrpv.vdma.org

Most read articles by the same author(s)